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Archive for May, 2020

So I wanted to figure out just how efficient electric vehicles really were.. and right off the bat they are actually really bad. Like you can get better gas mileage out of a Dodge Hellcat with 707 horsepower. So how did I figure this out? Well mostly just by looking up some numbers we actually see that it’ll cost you 30kWh just to get 100 miles out of an EV battery (this one was out of a Tesla Model S by the way). 30kWh!? It barely costs that much energy to power a refrigerator per month!

A gas vehicle will only cost you a 3.70 gallons of gas to get up to 100 miles or 27mpg. Now its sensibly makes sense if you go by cost but that energy density of a gas vehicle is nearly 3x as much basically if an electric vehicle was using the same fuel (in some universes it might) you’d only be getting about 3 miles per kWh. That’s probably better than a ground military tank if you can get one up to 60mph.

Funny thing is I started calculating weight which is another reason electric vehicles dont even make any sense whatsoever is that electric vehicles can weigh 750lbs more than a gasoline vehicle. Each electric car motor is in every wheel weighing more than 100 pounds so that’s like 400-500lbs just for the motors. A Tesla battery weighs more than 1,200 lbs.

Gas engines weigh about 300lbs…

You’d probably get 30 miles per charge if they keep battery weight the same as a gasoline vehicle. I’m not even going to do the math on that, electric vehicles are horrendously inefficient. Because you can get almost 40mpg on the highway with a gas 2020 Honda Civic. I dont recall city but it’s still really better than an electric vehicle. So if you want to spend 10 kW or more a day on an electric vehicle to drive 30 miles or so go right ahead but I’d like to keep my energy levels low, makes it easier for the electric company to give me discounts for using so much little energy (I dont really get discounts but it would be nice) electricity doesn’t cost that much but my car isnt really an iPad on wheels. If I’m going to drive 90miles a day I’m not going to be spending nearly 30 kW per day just to get to work and back. Because I wont even use 30 gallons of gas within that week.

It may save you some money getting gas but it will drive your energy uses sky high. I see nothing efficient here about an electric car. What is this nonsense about combustion engines only being 25-30% efficient? Even if they were only that efficient they still use less energy than an electric vehicle. Yeah that must mean electric vehicles are only like 1% efficient.

Yet another reason why electric vehicles are a waste of money.

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Besides reading this article which happens to be 2 years old is still relevant today. A lot of the articles about BEV adoption is unrealistic nonsense that everyone will be switching away from gas/diesel combustion engine vehicles to battery electrics.

Without engines electric cars might be sputtering out

It may work in places like Norway where the population is only 5 million. In comparison the United States has over 300 million people. China’s EV sales only account for more than just 3% (figuring this info wasn’t easy and could be incorrect) but globally gasoline vehicles still account for over 95% of sales. The oil industry nearly collapsed and will more than likely have a nasty repercussion if gasoline vehicle sales drop in favor of battery electric. So even with looming bans of combustion engine vehicles the combustion engine vehicle sales will not only increase but continue to skyrocket as less public transportation is used for daily commutes due to the coronavirus outbreak. Not only that the oil industry will more than likely invest in combustion engine vehicles and potentially sell them cheaper than the dealer price will. Already Chrysler-Jeep-Dodge has accelerated production (before the coronavirus) so they were already prepared for a shutdown and pushed much of the inventory onto dealers. The dealerships were not happy but with extra inventory at hand they didn’t have to deal with the shutdowns of auto factories limiting the amount of vehicles being sold. But as factories are reopened the inventory levels should return to normal.

Auto sales are suffering especially for gas vehicles, but it’s to be expected when people don’t want to go outside. Some people and companies may think that electric vehicles are on the rise and the sales supposedly are not bad but they still haven’t surpassed gasoline vehicle sales. China sales overall really sunk as the outbreak was really bad there.

While over 95% of vehicle sales are going to gas (this includes hybrids) vehicles it isnt looking optimistic for electric vehicles and that wont change much, at least for the next several years. I still think the carpocalypse is still going to happen when countries try to ban combustion engine vehicles auto sales will be crushed. I mean if 1 out of every 1,000 is buying electric worldwide and that accounts to 50,000 electric out of 50,000,000 (this isnt accurate numbers) gasoline that’ll look more like 10,000 electric out of 50,000,000 gasoline sold. Eventually it’ll happen no matter what because most people wont even look at or touch a battery electric. When people go look at a car most of them dont even question the source of power. They go in and expect to buy a car that runs off of gas or diesel. This is why straight gas Honda Civics are still being sold despite having a hybrid battery option the majority still prefer straight gas.

You dont need to plug in a hybrid because the battery gets charged by the engine and brakes. Some are plug in hybrids but again most people wont consider a car they gotta plug in.

For now especially with public transportation commuters they will be buying an economical vehicle in which both Honda and Toyota offer gas and hybrids. So expect more Camry’s, Corolla’s, Civics and Accords being sold. The used market may dry up from many car buyers and will later on switch to new. It’s not easy finding a used Honda at the moment, though if you look hard enough you can find one. They’re just so good that new car buyers are still holding onto them. Either way except a ton of sedans being sold over the next couple of years.

So where does this leave the future of the car? No matter what people say or what governments will try and do electric cars wont sell a ton. They can fine the auto industry for not having electric vehicle sales but it doesn’t really matter. Battery electric vehicles are not practical. They can add recharge stations and put some chargers into residential areas but the truth is, they wont ever gain traction over the combustion engine vehicle. People wont buy a car you have to plug in. People wont buy one because they wont remember to plug it in. We’re used to going to a gas station to refuel and it refuels in minutes. When you forget to plug in an EV, it can take hours.

Electric vehicles are not the solution but an alternative energy source that’s 100% clean that’ll work in existing gasoline vehicles. That is far more practical and more than likely already underway by the oil industry. Eventually you can fuel a vehicle from home, it doesn’t have to be battery electric either. We all want clean air but it’s pointless to argue how or what to use to get there. It doesn’t even matter which is better because we worked with combustion engine vehicles for over 100 years and not one person has said, “well gee whiz, this car is so energy inefficient I wish I had a car that was far more efficient” because gasoline vehicles are energy efficient enough. You wont notice the difference other than that gas tank is smaller and lighter than any electric car battery. In fact I think electric car batteries are less efficient due to the weight/size of them. A Tesla weighs 5,000lbs while a Honda Civic only weighs under 3,000lbs. An extra 2,000lbs just for the battery. While some pony/muscle cars can weigh up to 4,500lbs its mostly due to the extra power/engine size. Other electric vehicles weigh roughly the same.

While electricity costs are low its because the demand generally is not there but in places where EVs are being driven, electric costs are going up. If EVs were replaced by gasoline vehicles today the electric cost would double and even triple. This is not just for EVs but you’ll be spending up to 3x to run any electric device at home. California already has electric costs at $0.31kW/h or higher. Illinois currently has $0.12kW/h. I shouldn’t have to pay more just so the people down the street can charge their vehicles. And I’m glad the neighbors dont have an electric car. I’ll be even more glad they wont considerĀ  buying one. Because battery electric isnt the only clean renewable out there.

Hydrogen is the best bet, but i hope there is a better alternative to gas for the cars already on the road today. Because eventually we’ll have to abandon gas. It just should not be a car that you have to plug in to recharge it every night. Battery electric vehicles may be able to tow a lot but not for very long. Gas and diesel still has better towing range. Dont expect that Cybertruck from Tesla to get 100 miles towing a boat.

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So they finally announced there’s a million mile EV battery that is also cheap. Really cheap because it’s designed from the Chinese.

I’m not knocking China or anything but anything made from there is pure junk. I mean the cellphones they make only work for a year or two. And every electronic I’ve bought that’s been made in China (well almost everything) has crapped out on me. That’s not to say some of the stuff made in China never lasts, but something as big and reliable for transportation, batteries just dont strike reliability especially when its designed by the Chinese.

So dont expect these batteries to last very long, even the Tesla batteries are not expected to last beyond 10 years but expect these batteries to die out within 3 years. Theyll probably slap on a 8 year/million mile warranty on but that’s just overconfidence. These batteries will most likely not last that long. The Chinese don’t really focus on making things last and considering this was a Chinese breakthrough it’s unlikely they’ll hold up to the test of time. So if you see a cheap electric vehicle, dont buy it because they may have this Chinese battery in it that could potentially stand you. Even with Teslas so called thermal management these million mile EV batteries are not to be trusted. Already battery EVs are not trustworthy but its hilarious to think this is possible and ready for worldwide adoption, as I say let the gullible and the ones with money to burn waste their money on these things because they can test these things out and find out for real in about 20 years to see if they actually held up. But it’s almost a guarantee that these Chinese batteries wont last. Even if they produce the batteries elsewhere it’s still a Chinese battery.

As I said I got nothing against China but you pretty much get what you pay for and China quality is just not that reliable.

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I’ve got a lump forming on the bottom of my jaw, its probably a tooth abscess that has been forming. The area is slight reddish and it’s been tender. Before it was just a smaller lump and I wasn’t sure what to do so I was chewing gum into hoping it’ll work it’s way out.. instead it made the problem worse. If that’s not bad enough I tried an ice pack and pressing down on it a little too hard also made it a bit worse. Tried warm water using a towel and I think it was better but not sure because now the area has a slight pain now.

I’ve been afraid to visit the doctor or dentist due to the coronavirus and besides that, with the lockdown and the economic situation dont really have money either. So I’m in a bad situation right now without knowing what to do. Going to a doctor and dentist I dont feel safe. Heck it’s just as bad as going into a store and licking all the carts and doors hoping you dont get sick. While they may be taking every precaution it’s in close contact.

So yeah this isn’t the best of times. It may be media hype and all but this so far is nothing compared to what Covid 19 is capable of doing. So right now I need prayers, prayers the solution will come to me or that this thing can heal itself.. that God can correct this mistake. Its not good. Sounds like an infection that could get worse.. I dont know how long I can wait. It’s not in a whole great deal of pain, but it is a problem and it’s a scary situation where I dont know what to do.

I’m afraid to even call someone as that doctor or dentist will obviously try to convince me to go in because well, it’s a money making thing.. I lose while another gains in this crisis. And I can already tell you it’ll be more than $200 because I checked the area and the more expensive ones are the ones open…

So no matter what I’m in a bad situation and need prayers..

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So I got a friend who works for a used car dealer that has all kinds of used vehicles some of them happen to be electric cars. Usually people give up/trade their vehicles for 2 reasons. They want something different or there is a problem with the one they have so they opt to get rid of it. The Blur Book value puts a 2017 Nissan Leaf around $7,000 (that’s a huge loss from $35k). Comparing a Dodge Challenger which is only up to a $10k loss from $30-40k. My friend that works at the used dealer often will not follow Blue Book values and offer lower values for electric vehicles.

While the used dealer is pretty honest and doesn’t try to scam they really only offer around $2,000 for a used EV/trade in value. Cash offers are low as $500 for those trying to get rid of the vehicle. The dealer does look into the condition of the vehicle and usually will offer a little more but usually when someone is getting rid of their EV and buying gas its because the battery is on it’s way out or it was replaced then, the owner just wants to trade it in for a different vehicle and often will just go used due to the fact their vehicle investment resale value is so poor and they took a loss when investing in an electric vehicle only to find that the battery is no good. Sometimes they’ll just hold onto the vehicle anyways since it lost so much value already the value is just to drive it and get rid of it when the warranty expires, so they are not left with a dead vehicle in the driveway.

Here’s the takeaway, depending on the state or country the government forces automakers to have a warranty for these batteries up to 10 years or 200,000 miles.

They dont want to have to replace dead EV batteries and this often falls to the dealerships so they dont want to sell them. So they’ll leave them sit in the back of the lot and try to avoid selling them because they dont want to have to spend the money on a free battery replacement. They know that they will have to do this so they attempt to avoid selling you this car and it works both for the consumer and the dealer.

To replace a $10,000+ battery in an electric vehicle which by the way there is actually up to 8,000 batteries in an EV. So this adds to more failures, once one cell dies the others will follow.

So when you are losing range it’s those cells beginning to die one after another. Rather than trying to fix the bad cluster it’s better to replace the entire unit. Because otherwise the repair centers will be overwhelmed with warranty battery fixes every week! One cell dies you lose a little bit, but lose 100 within a week and you’ll lose something like a couple of miles and it keeps dwindling away.

And dealers dont want to buy whole new battery packs, who would being so ridiculously expensive. So they dont want to sell electric vehicles and in return this helps the consumer because why buy a vehicle that is a huge money pit. Of course dealers do like it when they gotta fix consumer vehicles but only when the consumer is the one paying for it. In the end though the gas vehicles have better resale value and the dealer offers a bigger payout so you get more value out of your purchases. It all depends on what you buy but you could buy a gas Honda Civic and it will provide value for a long time.

The problems of electric vehicles won’t go away and its because they are very limited by the costly repairs of a battery and the small return investment of them.

EV enthusiasts will deny this and often say the batteries will last them 10+ years. I heard some guy said they’ll last 20 years. Tesla claims 12-15 years. Except these vehicles have only been around since 6-7 years so its unlikely they would be telling the truth that their batteries last beyond 6 years. Tesla offers 8 year warranties on their batteries but then they charge much more for their vehicles and apparently there are plenty of rich suckers who will pay. Tesla batteries are also around $20,000 so its likely they are better builtĀ  but it’s also unlikely the batteries will work beyond 10 years. In reality lithium ion batteries only last 2-3years. So it’s unlikely they’ll last much longer than 5 years. These people want to put you into an electric vehicle and dont really care about how much they cost people. Theyll even claim less maintenance costs. Sure no oil changes or high refueling costs but they won’t tell you that the hidden cost is a new battery or a new vehicle. Since people are willing to buy a new car every year, they’ll do 5 year loans trying to push more people into a never ending loan payment so they dont get any value in their vehicles period. Just pay $500 for your car up until the day you pass away. This way the government can keep people from holding onto the same vehicle for over 10 years. Battery dies, just buy a new vehicle.

This also helps generate more tax revenue by new vehicles being sold more often. The green push is really about the dollar signs and the only thing the politicians see is more taxpayer money.

Save your money and buy a gas vehicle. Wait for hydrogen, it will be far better and more cost effective. Because saving money at the pump and oil changes won’t stop you from spending more money in replacing the batteries or the car itself every 5 years.

Hydrogen doesn’t have the issues that a battery has and batteries are not efficient let alone cost effective. Hydrogen would work better with being able to use a combustion engine (diesel engines would work well) as they are already being used today. The cost needs to go down before this is put into place. Eventually within a decade or two we’ll see hydrogen around and it’ll be the true successor to gasoline.

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